Single-race breakdown with model vs market, value edge, confidence, and the reasons Slims Pickins is leaning in or stepping out.
Kissmehoneyhoney rates as the value NAP at 15.8% fair chance versus 8.5% market probability (+82% EV). Price is shorter than the model makes it.
The main play combines fair-price edge, suitability for conditions, and enough confidence to justify involvement.
Price is shorter than the model makes it.
Kissmehoneyhoney rates as the value NAP at 15.8% fair chance versus 8.5% market probability (+82% EV). Price is shorter than the model makes it.
Price is shorter than the model makes it.
Enjoyed an excellent 2025 and she signed off with a 1m4f listed success at Toulouse in October; remains quite low mileage, so can do better still this season.
Proved most progressive last season when a dual 1m4f AW handicap scorer in the autumn; steps up in grade here but she's capable of further improvement.
Improved by the run last season and ended with an excellent third of 11 in Doncaster's Group 2 Park Hill Stakes in September; yard took this 12 months ago and she's very much the one to beat.
Winless in 2025 for Tom Clover but she largely performed with credit; changed hands for 70,000 guineas subsequently but this C&D scorer faces no easy task on her seasonal/yard debut.
Lightly raced filly who showed fair winning form in bumpers before making a successful Flat debut in 1m3f maiden at Kempton in March; capable of better but this demands considerable improvement.
Underwent breathing surgery before making an encouraging return from six months off when runner-up in 1m4f Kempton handicap last month; this fairly useful 1m4f winner can take a step forward now.
Crystal Ocean filly who looked a good prospect when making a winning start in 11-runner maiden at Leicester (1m2f, good to soft) in September; takes a big step up in grade but this longer trip promises to suit her well, so she shouldn't be passed over at all lightly for leading yard.
Looked firmly on the up when landing a pair of handicaps (around 1m3f) at Kempton and Yarmouth last autumn but she ended 2025 on a low note when tailed off in the St Simon Stakes at Newbury; this is no easy reappearance.
Largely progressive sort (1m2f winner) last season but she wasn't seen out after posting just a fair fifth of seven in 1m6f Newmarket handicap in August; this demands a clear personal best after eight months off the track.
Slims Pickins is most useful when you can move from this single-race view back to the wider board, compare races quickly, and decide where the edge is strongest.